Champions Manchester City are coming into this match in some very poor form. They are coming off a 1-4 defeat to neighbours Manchester United and they have now lost 4 of their last 6 Premier League games. Manchester City now sit in 4th place on 61 points, just 4 points above 5thplace Liverpool. Manchester City’s recent home form reads W10, D3, L2.

When playing teams of West Ham’s stature Manchester City boast an excellent home record that reads W9, D0, L1 and Manchester City can be backed at around 1.26.

The recent head-to-head record at the Etihad Stadium is dominated by the home side and reads Manchester City 4 wins, 0 Draws and West Ham 0 wins.

If you do fancy Manchester City to win here then you do have the alternative of backing them on the Asian Handicap -1.5/2.0 goals at around 1.93.

The draw can be backed at around 6.75 and at this price, looks to offer some value.

West Ham are also coming into this game in some poor form and they have only won 1 of their last 10 Premier League matches. Despite this the Hammers are having a decent season and currently they sit in 9th place on 43 points. West Ham’s recent away record reads a poor looking W3, D6, L6.

When facing the Premier League elite sides, West Ham’s away record reads a very poor looking W0, D1, L9 and West Ham can be backed at around 13.00. If you do fancy the Hammers to do well here then you can keep an element of the 2 goal loss on your side and West Ham can be backed on the Asian Handicap +1.5/2.0 goals at around 2.00. 

Looking at the goal line then the stats point to Unders. When looking at how both teams have played against similar opposition, in the 20 matches, 8 have seen 4 or more goals, 3 have seen 3 goals and 9 have seen 2 or less. My ratings suggest some decent value backing Under 3.0/3.5 goals at around 1.91.

This is a tough game to figure out and we have come to a time of season where motivation plays a big part. Looking at my ratings it suggests value in both the match and goal line. When considering the match line then West Ham look value and have only lost by 2 or more goals in 3 of their last 15 away games. For my trade I am going to turn to the goal line when facing Top half sides West Ham have only see 4 or more goals scored in 2 of their last 12 away games. My ratings suggest decent value in backing unders and so my recommended trade is under 3.0/3.5 goals at around 1.96.